“You would be crazy to buy a house right now.”
By Daniel at 20 November, 2009, 10:08 am
From USA today:
A second wave of foreclosures is poised to hit the market, potentially undermining housing recovery efforts as more homes add to the glut of inventory and drive down prices.
These homes largely represent loans that are delinquent but have not yet resulted in foreclosure sales.
About 7 million properties are destined to go into foreclosure, according to a September study by Amherst Securities Group, compared with 1.27 million properties in early 2005.
“There’s a huge supply out there,” says Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. “The foreclosure process can take a long time. When it comes to (the housing recovery), we’re not home free.”
There is often a long lag time between a borrower going delinquent and the bank taking the home. Here’s why:
•Moratoriums. New state laws imposing short-term moratoriums have slowed the timeline from delinquency to foreclosure.
•Overwhelmed lenders. Banks dealing with a surge in refinancing, mortgage modifications and defaults are overwhelmed with demand, so it can take longer to initiate a foreclosure sale.
•Modifications. Many loans now are first examined to see if they might qualify for a modification. This drags out the timeline and means it is taking longer for homes to go into foreclosure.
•Asset write-downs. Banks may in part be waiting to liquidate homes through foreclosure because they don’t want to write down the value of the asset. Lenders can keep homes on the books at a higher value until they are sold at foreclosure.
“There is a lot of foreclosed property in the pipeline that will hit the market and depress prices,” says Mark Zandi at Moody’s Economy.com. Foreclosed homes often sell at prices below those on the market and can therefore drag down overall home values.
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“you would be crazy to buy a house right now”
That depends, if the government is guaranteeing your loan +subsidizing the down payment, and the mortgage rate is fixed, shoot-easy money. Three guys in San Francisco pooled 33,000 for a million dollar property.
“A week ago, he and a couple of buddies bought a two-unit apartment building for nearly a million dollars. They had only a little cash to bring to the table but, with the federal government insuring the transaction, a large down payment was not necessary.”
Folks, this is over-the-top crazy!
- froggy
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