Important News - Oct. 22 update 1

By Daniel at 22 October, 2009, 2:58 pm

Owners of shopping malls, hotels, office space and apartment buildings — and the bankers who financed them — face a major crunch

(related) FDIC seeks bailout ban, risk fees

“Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — New York Governor David Paterson said the state may not have enough money in December to pay all its bills, as he urged legislators to quickly agree to plans to close a $3.1 billion deficit and raise cash.

Bond rating companies will be watching the state, and may reduce New York’s ranking if it drew money from its $1.2 billion rainy day fund or created a financial plan with unrealistic revenue forecasts, Paterson said at an Albany meeting with leaders of the Senate and Assembly.”

“In 2010, 43.3percent of the city’s general levy, or $345 million, will be used to fund pension contributions for city employees. State lawmandates that the city contribute an amount to each pension fund based on payroll contributions made by employees.”

“According to the report, at the end of 2007, the plans of the 214 non-financial U.S. companies with pensions rated by Fitch were approximately 103% funded, but following the dismal performance of the equity markets in 2008 in the aggregate plans were underfunded at approximately 76% on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis, and the median company was 71% funded.”

“The city’s pension plans - especially the interest payments on the unfunded liability - is “what’s eating the city’s lunch,” according to John Keane.

Keane is the executive director of the Jacksonville Police and Fire Pension Fund, which accounted for about $789 million in unfunded liability after the stock market went south.”

Treasury auction total next week expected to be record

By Chris Reese

“NEW YORK, Oct 22 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt prices eased on Thursday, weighed down by persistent worries that massive amounts of pending government debt issuance will take a toll on bond prices.

The Treasury on Thursday will announce the size of next week’s note auctions, with many analysts expecting the total weekly offering to exceed the record of $115 billion seen in July.”

“Investors are worried that this could jeopardize the country’s top-tier credit rating.”

“NEW YORK: Thousands of parents in Hawaii have been scrambling to make childcare arrangements before today’s closure of all state schools in an attempt by the education authorities to cut costs.

All 256 of Hawaii’s state schools will be closed in the first of 17 ”furlough Fridays” over the school year, bringing a drastic cut in school time for up to 171,000 children.”

“As the Senate debates whether to extend unemployment benefits, more than 200,000 jobless Americans are set to see their checks stop in October.”

……in other words

==
12) Some more “results”, this time from the Real Economy (John W. Schoen)

“Commercial real estate bust looms
Developers face huge crunch as downturn hits office buildings, malls, hotels
That big whoosh you’re hearing is the air rushing out of a commercial real estate bubble.

More than two years into the worst housing crisis in decades, commercial real estate is shaping up as the second half of what some are calling a “double bubble.” Owners of shopping malls, hotels, office space and apartment buildings — and the bankers who financed them — face a major crunch over the next two years as the mortgages on those properties start coming due….”

13) “New jobless claims climb more than expected (AP)
Employers seem unwilling to hire even as economy shows recovery signs

WASHINGTON - The number of newly laid-off workers filing claims for jobless benefits rose more than expected last week, after falling in five of the past six weeks, as employers remain reluctant to hire even with the economy showing signs of recovery.

The Labor Department said Thursday that new jobless claims rose to a seasonally adjusted 531,000 last week, from an upwardly revised 520,000 the previous week. Wall Street economists had expected only a slight increase, according to Thomson Reuters….”

14) 7 Months After Stimulus: 49 of 50 States Have Lost Jobs (Vinny A.)

According to the data, 49 States and the District of Columbia have lost jobs since stimulus was enacted. Only North Dakota has seen net job creation following the February 2009 stimulus. While President Obama claimed the result of his stimulus bill would be the creation of 3.5 million jobs, the Nation has already lost a total of 2.7 million – a difference of 6.2 million jobs.

15) This week treasury auctions $111B and next week $180B.  (wawa)

So it comes to more than a quarter of a Trillion dollars in just two weeks. Look at Auction Results and Upcoming Auctions.

How far and for how long this insanity will continue?

….Dont be confused with the total of 250billion. Lots of the notes we sell are 30 day, 90 day, 6 month, etc. So we have to resell debt from time to time.

The question we need to ask ourselves is: can the bond market and foreign central banks absorb 1 trillion per year for the next 2 years?

-saxplayer

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