Bad News: 650,000 will run out of all unemployment benefits by August
By Daniel at 17 July, 2009, 5:50 pm
The next bubble in the recession is about to burst.
More than 650,000 Americans will have used up all of their unemployment benefits by September, in what experts say could be the start of a looming crisis.
In the early days of the downturn, the government extended unemployment benefits beyond the standard 26 weeks to as many as 79 weeks in hopes of giving the jobless a longer lifeline. Officials predicted the economy worsening and businesses further contracting, resulting in fewer jobs for the newly unemployed to find.
With the recession now 18 months deep and the national unemployment rate standing at 9.5%, it appears that the effort wasn’t robust enough for those in the crisis’ first wave of layoffs.
“We need to get the issue attention now, because people are running out of benefits and there’s just nothing for them,” said Andrew Stettner, deputy director of the National Employment Law Project, an advocacy group that has calculated the number of people who will exhaust their unemployment benefits.
In fact, Stettner and the Labor Department are expecting the problem to accelerate. In the next few weeks, the victims of the mass layoffs that happened six months ago — when the pace of layoffs was at its zenith — will start running out of their basic benefits. A total of 4.4 million people are expected to face this fate — or 65% of the entire filing population.
And while they may have up to another year of unemployment insurance benefits — thanks to the confusing patchwork of extensions that were enacted last summer — they will be soon be unaccounted for in government unemployment reports.
The Labor Department doesn’t track anyone who has moved beyond 26 weeks of unemployment in its weekly data on continuing claims (the number of people who request benefits after their first week). And, said Stella Cromartie, spokeswoman for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, said the agency does not currently have plans to begin tracking this population.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/650000-will-run-out-of-all-cnnm-4012899933.html?x=0&.v=2
As a result, by late summer the government may begin reporting significant declines in continuing filers. But it won’t be cause for celebration. Instead of of indicating that the economy is on the rebound, it could mean that more people are falling off the radar.
“We will see a decline in continuing filers,” said the NELP’s Stettner. “People are falling out of these numbers, and the pace of more recent layoffs replacing them is not as steep.”
“They’re not included in these unemployment numbers we hear about every week,” said the NELP’s Stettner. “They’re desperate, asking, ‘What’s going to happen to me?’”
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