“HAPPY NEW YEAR!”
Whatever this year brings, may God be with you all, your trading and endeavors be successful, and peace be with you. Good luck to you all.
New Year’s Countdown
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Current functions of the [...]
Based on ” nothing ” but hope that the economy will be getting better in 2009 rather than on good solid fundamentals . Actually the fundamentals are pointing to a dire 2009 as they continue to worsen not get better or even show any signs of even stabilizing don’t you know !
The financial crisis began [...]
1. Steelers win the Super Bowl (sorry, had to throw it in)
2. Netflix (NFLX) will have a strong Q1 with a drop off in q2, steady after that. q1 looking at $30-32
3. WMT will have a temporary increase in share price due to a strong holiday push, where as everyone else failed.
4. Dow will go [...]
Regarding Elliot wave and further down. I have to wonder if it won’t be true for “value” of stocks and the market where we go much, much lower, but, see price go up.
The Elliot wave theory will hold true for value regardless of price, I am thinking. But, if the U.S. government starts to devalue [...]
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123068292824744097.html
United States : Farm Prices
Definition
The Department of Agriculture releases the index of prices received by farmers at the end of the month for the current month. It reflects changes through the middle of the month. The index is not adjusted for seasonal variation. It includes crop prices (49.8%) and livestock & product prices (50.2%). Farm [...]
The American insurance industry has certainly not lobbied the US government to “take the lead in setting global rules to tackle climate change.” Further, evidence suggests that there is no connection between the current cycle of severe Atlantic storm systems and climate change. Yes, Global Warming seems to be occurring and yes, we are in [...]
In 2008, 6 Years of Market Gains Are Lost
When the New York Stock Exchange closes later this afternoon, virtually anyone with money in stocks will have felt the punishing drop in the market.
The markets were headed for a higher close Wednesday, but overall, it was a very bad year to own stocks, any stocks [...]
By Ronald D. Orol
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Treasury Department on Wednesday said it is challenging for government officials to understand how financial institutions participating in a $700 billion bank bailout program are using the capital they receive. “Each individual financial institution’s circumstances are different, making comparisons challenging at best, and it is difficult to track [...]
With 2009 starting tomorrow, the job hunting season begins in earnest. In fact, January 2 historically has been the kickoff for a major surge in activity among job seekers.
Tough Economy Can Be An Opportunity
A lot of people are hurting right now in these tough times. Close to 2 million Americans have lost their [...]
THERE WAS A LOT OF VOLATILITY IN 2008 WE CAN AGREE ON THAT. MY FEELING IS THERE IS A DIRECT CORRELATION BETWEEN LOSSES AND GAINS:
IF I WERE TO LIST THE GREATEST POINT GAINS:
1 10/13/2008 9,387.61 +936.42 +11.08
2 10/28/2008 9,065.12 +889.35 +10.88
3 11/13/2008 8,835.25 +552.59 +6.67
4 3/16/2000 10,630.60 +499.19 +4.93
5 11/21/2008 8,046.42 +494.13 +6.54
6 7/24/2002 [...]
GREATEST POINT LOSSES FOR DOW:
1 9/29/2008 10,365.45 –777.68 –6.98
2 10/15/2008 8,577.91 –733.08 –7.87
3 9/17/2001 8,920.70 –684.81 –7.13
4 10/9/2008 8,579.19 –678.91 –7.33
5 4/14/2000 10,305.78 –617.77 –5.66
6 10/27/1997 7,161.14 –554.26 –7.18
7 10/22/2008 8,519.21 –514.45 –5.69
8 8/31/1998 7,539.06 –512.62 –6.37
9 10/7/2008 9,447.11 –508.39 –5.11
10 10/19/1987 1,738.74 –508.00 –22.61
11 9/15/2008 10,917.51 –504.48 –4.42
12 11/5/2008 9,139.27 –486.01 –5.05
13 9/17/2008 10,609.66 [...]
Most of the top 10 crashes happened over more than one year rather than over a few days (such as the 1987 Black Monday). Only data on stock market crashes after 1900 are included. 6 out of the top 10 crashes started in either September or November.
Worst Stock Market Crash: 1930-1932
This is the grand daddy [...]
Oil Gold Housing Dow Inflation
1968
1969 -1.10% 0.70% 0.47% -24.71% 5.50%
1970 -4.69% -17.53% 2.75% -40.30% 11.20%
1971 -2.89% -8.41% 6.18% -20.40% 15.60%
1972 -6.09% 30.94% 10.64% -22.45% 18.80%
1973 19.65% 92.07% 12.68% -34.43% 25.00%
1974 105.49% 144.72% 12.41% -80.94% 36.00%
1975 126.98% 136.72% 14.05% -62.69% 45.10%
1976 128.47% [...]
April 20, 2007 — I don’t see (subprime mortgage market troubles) imposing a serious problem. I think its going to be largely contained.
July 26, 2007 — I don’t think it [the subprime mess] poses any threat to the overall economy.
November 29, 2007 — While the difficulties in housing and credit markets and the effects of [...]
The economic recovery depends on the consumer levering up again. All the action the Fed is taking is to get people to buy houses, retail, autos, etc on credit. On the other side of the ring from the Fed is Deflation.
Several things must happen as I see it.
1. Houses must stop going down in value. [...]
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